Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1.955648 2.252786 2.574027 2.946404 3.365410 3.821527 4.354825
2024-10-06 1.572718 2.002219 2.507322 3.141681 3.913271 4.817294 5.952276
2024-10-13 1.267739 1.765004 2.394933 3.242920 4.344812 5.717342 7.543895
2024-10-20 1.011753 1.529022 2.229970 3.233714 4.615632 6.430112 8.967159
2024-10-27 0.847614 1.378967 2.143465 3.299066 4.971355 7.267690 10.614521
2024-11-03 0.719564 1.253333 2.064676 3.352548 5.300947 8.084115 12.289920
2024-11-10 0.608380 1.130902 1.967437 3.357219 5.547617 8.790946 13.854723
2024-11-17 0.510525 1.010901 1.852991 3.313957 5.706821 9.370403 15.265136
2024-11-24 0.424904 0.895387 1.726706 3.230552 5.785705 9.823345 16.505930
2024-12-01 0.368913 0.823262 1.662603 3.239368 6.007754 10.506562 18.139622
2024-12-08 0.317987 0.751119 1.587047 3.216159 6.168342 11.096023 19.656301
2024-12-15 0.286342 0.712089 1.566693 3.287522 6.494080 11.973266 21.688947
2024-12-22 0.254541 0.668995 1.536517 3.344679 6.813793 12.887834 23.889238
2024-12-29 0.238194 0.657898 1.569799 3.529235 7.385914 14.283161 27.006894
2025-01-05 0.215582 0.627731 1.559182 3.625426 7.801708 15.435599 29.785961
2025-01-12 0.187177 0.577235 1.496989 3.607924 7.996222 16.204367 31.941449
2025-01-19 0.168557 0.547822 1.477199 3.676424 8.364252 17.313084 34.770741
2025-01-26 0.151523 0.518867 1.453877 3.733627 8.712856 18.406809 37.636369
2025-02-02 0.133725 0.483556 1.409654 3.738010 8.950979 19.304040 40.189187
2025-02-09 0.115764 0.443258 1.346408 3.690108 9.072318 19.980365 42.363160
2025-02-16 0.098451 0.400331 1.269050 3.598254 9.088003 20.445866 44.157258
2025-02-23 0.087489 0.375316 1.235294 3.607875 9.327457 21.373389 46.896863
2025-03-02 0.076678 0.347810 1.189950 3.582323 9.483560 22.138075 49.354763